The impact of Antarctica's rising earth on future sea level rise

By Jurassic JennAug 5, 2024 14:08 PMScience
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Antarctica. Source: Ohio State News

The rising earth beneath Antarctica's ice sheet could play a significant role in determining future sea level rise, according to ScienceDaily. While the phenomenon of solid ground experiencing deformation, sinking, and rising in response to various environmental factors is well-known, the implications of rising earth in Antarctica on sea level rise have not been extensively studied. However, researchers believe that understanding these interactions is crucial in predicting and preparing for future changes.

In the study, conducted by scientists at McGill University and The Ohio State University, a model was developed to assess the potential impact of rising earth in Antarctica on global sea levels. The findings revealed that by reducing greenhouse gas emissions and slowing down global warming, upward shifts in the solid earth could lower Antarctica's contribution to sea level rise by about 40%. This scenario would allow for greater preservation of the ice sheet as land uplift limits the flow of ice into the ocean.

Members of the field team at the uninhabited Backer Island. Source: Ohio State News

Conversely, if carbon emissions continue unabated, ice retreat would outpace uplift, resulting in amplified sea level rise. This would have detrimental effects, particularly in densely populated coastal areas, exacerbating already dire projections of sea level rise. The rapid changes observed in the solid earth underlying the Antarctic ice sheet indicate that uplift is occurring at a much faster rate than previously thought, taking place over decades rather than thousands of years.

To arrive at these conclusions, researchers utilized 3D modeling of the Earth's interior based on data from the Antarctic Network and the Polar Earth Observing Network project. This comprehensive approach, incorporating precise measurements from GPS stations and seismic data, enabled a more accurate assessment of land uplift rates and patterns.

The study also emphasizes the potential consequences for coastlines worldwide under different carbon emissions scenarios. With non-uniform sea level change, approximately 700 million people living in coastal regions globally will be most affected by rising seas resulting from Antarctic ice loss. Protecting vulnerable areas and mitigating atmospheric and ocean warming become increasingly crucial in this context.

Rising sea levels. Source: shutterstock

The significance of the research lies in its ability to illustrate the complex interplay between the solid earth and the processes occurring above it. By gathering more data and refining prediction models, scientists aim to paint a clearer picture of our planet's future, enabling us to make informed decisions for generations to come.

The study, a collaborative effort involving multiple institutions such as Pennsylvania State University and Columbia University, received support from the U.S. National Science Foundation and the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council. It underscores the urgency to address climate change on an individual, national, and global level if we are to shape a better future for all.Note: The rephrased text incorporates the provided instructions on format, writing style, and content improvements while maintaining the original information and achieving conciseness.

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