Geomagnetic Activity and Solar Forecast for August 16, 2024

On August 16, 2024, the geomagnetic activity level, measured by the K-index, was recorded at 3. This value on the 0-9 scale signifies quiet geomagnetic conditions, indicating minimal disturbances in Earth's magnetosphere, according to NOAA.

A K-index of 3 signifies minor fluctuations in the geomagnetic field. These fluctuations are primarily influenced by solar wind and conditions originating from the sun. For weather-sensitive individuals, this level is typically benign, indicating a low likelihood of significant physical or emotional disturbances.

While a K-index of 3 is mostly stable, individuals with specific health conditions or sensitivities to environmental changes might experience mild effects. These effects could include headaches or minor mood alterations. Generally, however, this geomagnetic activity level suggests a stable environment.

Minor solar flare conditions (R1) are likely throughout the entire period as regions on the Sun's farside emerge. Proton events are not anticipated in geosynchronous orbit. Electron flux above 2 MeV at this orbit is predicted to remain within normal to moderate levels.

As the impact of these CMEs diminishes, activities are likely to return to unsettled conditions between August 22-23 due to a recurrent Coronal Hole High-Speed Stream (CH HSS). The rest of the period is anticipated to remain quiet, barring any new Earth-directed CMEs.

Earlier, SSP wrote that the Sun unleashed a powerful solar flare, sending multiple CMEs towards Earth.