Geomagnetic Storm and Solar Radiation Forecast for September 28, 2024

On Saturday, September 28, 2024, the geomagnetic activity level is classified as a K-Index of 2, indicating a quiet state, according to NOAA. This classification signifies minimal disturbances in the Earth's magnetic field, resulting in stable atmospheric conditions. Generally, a K-index of 0 to 2 is associated with calm weather conditions, meaning that solar wind and cosmic rays are not significantly interacting with the Earth's magnetosphere.

For weather-sensitive individuals, such as those with certain health conditions or heightened sensitivity to atmospheric changes, a K-index of 2 typically poses minimal risks. Most people are unlikely to experience any physical discomfort or psychological effects, unlike during more active geomagnetic periods that can lead to increased anxiety or fatigue. Overall, this quiet level of geomagnetic activity is favorable, allowing individuals to go about their daily lives without concern for weather-related disruptions attributed to geomagnetic influences.

Solar Radiation and Flare Activity

No Minor (S1) or greater solar radiation storms are expected, and no significant active region activity conducive to radiation storm production is forecasted. However, the likelihood of M-class flares (R1-R2, Minor to Moderate) is noted, with a slight chance for X-class flares (R3, Strong) on September 28.

In summary, while the geomagnetic and solar radiation storm levels are predicted to be minimal, the potential for minor to moderate solar flares cannot be entirely ruled out. 

Earlier, SSP wrote when will be the peak of aurora borealis activity.